Reuters reported last week that more than 3.2 million French
are jobless, an 11.5% y/y increase and that President Hollande's "nagging headache have now turned into a migrane" . Monsieur le President, “pays la meme c’est
comment comment?”
Leading to his election, President Hollande got a lot of
help from the French media, who perpetuated so much hate on the persona of Mr.
Sarkozy that he (Sarkozy) literally had no hope of winning the vote of independents;
the large constituent of voters that were crucial to Hollande’s victory last
year.
Hollande, like many socialists in
Europe ran on a populist platform similar to the one Obama ran in the U.S last
year. His election cycle rhetoric was: tax the rich, let them pay their fair share, while we look after the poor. Of course,
this sounds good to the ears of most of us waking up too early in the morning
and coming home late at night just to put food on the table, but the reality is
– how effective has Mr. Hollande’s populist rhetoric been when put in practice?
For the average man in France, it is beginning to look like
Mr. Hollande’s socialist ideas are no better than Mr. Sarkozy’s economic plan
which the French detested so much that they voted him out of office. The
unemployment rate and the country’s economy stubbornly remain stagnant. And to
compound the malaise further, France at the moment is unable to take bold
economic steps to address their problems.
They cannot do the American Fed-style of quantitative easing without the
consent of the European Central Bank since France no longer control their own
currency. And also, officially in the Euro- Zone, increasing liquidity or the
purchase of toxic assets like the U.S. did during the great recession will be
too much to ask of the French government at the moment. So what to do? What to do Monsieur le president? Parce-ce
que vraiment, les temps sont durs.
The reality remains that Hollande came at a time when Europe
is broker than Zimbabwe and the French youth are even more hopeless than
they’ve ever been. And it is now high
time that Hollande realizes that France needs major structural reforms. Hollande must do everything in his power to
curb public spending, which is now almost 60% of GDP. He must roll back the
socialist policies that nationalized a lot of industries in France, increase
the work hours, and raise the retirement age.
By doing so, Hollande will allow the government to generate more tax
revenue from workers instead of sending them retirement cheques they currently
can't afford.
I hate to say this because I consider myself pro-poor, but
France is at a point where it must adopt serious and tough austerity measures. The governement of Francois Hollande must put
entitlement programs on the budget cut table. With France now having the lowest
profit margin in the Euro-Zone, investors are not going to come in, especially
not when Hollande is promising to make good on his word to tax them at a rate
of 75%.
Donc monsieur le presido, la France dites quoi meme?

Ok. Sarkozy's economic plan is not what cost him. It's his personality and governing style that turned off some. And Hollande eventually won by a slim margin needing a coalition of all left leaning parties versus Sarkozy's one UMP. But now, Hollande is pursuing austerity just as aggressively as Sarkoxy was which is why France can still borrow at record low rates on the market. He doesn't have the fiscal space to stimulate the economy a la QE 3 or anything like that. So he has to resort to the 75% tax and making big corporations pay up their fair share. Whereas Sarkoxy was essentially giving then a tax holiday.
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